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Welcome to Beating the S&P


Welcome to the nascent Beating the S&P web site. The site is now under construction. I've tried to put some of the more important stuff in here while the carpenters go to it. For further information about the market whomping performance of this stock system and how it might fit best into your investment portfolio, visit:

  • the Motley Fool on America Online, or

  • the Motley Fool on the Internet, or

  • the Foolish Workshop, or

  • the Beating the Dow message folders.


    Ethan "cormend" Haskel

    (Please let me know what you think about my page, good sugestions are always appreciated.)

    A tiny little Q&A Section(at the bottom)

  • What is Beating the S&P?

  • Why develop BSP?

  • How are BSP stocks chosen?

  • Where exactly might BSP fit in to one's own portfolio?

  • Where can I find more information about BSP?


































































































































































































































    The Current BSP 30
    as of March 1999

    (sorted by name)

    Name Symbol Price Div Yield
    American International Group AIG *** *** ***
    Anheuser Busch BUD *** *** ***
    BankAmerica BAC *** *** ***
    Bristol-Myers-Squibb BMY *** *** ***
    Bank One ONE *** *** ***
    Carnival CCL *** *** ***
    Chase Manhattan CMB *** *** ***
    Compaq CPQ *** *** ***
    Dayton Hudson DH *** *** ***
    Fannie Mae FNM *** *** ***
    Ford F *** *** ***
    Gillette G *** *** ***
    Home Depot HD *** *** ***
    Intel INTC *** *** ***
    Gap GPS *** *** ***
    (Eli) Lilly LLY *** *** ***
    Lucent LU *** *** ***
    Texas Instruments TXN *** *** ***
    Mobil MOB *** *** ***
    Monsanto MTC *** *** ***
    Morgan Stanley, Dean Witter... MWD *** *** ***
    Motorola MOT *** *** ***
    Pepsico PEP *** *** ***
    Pfizer PFE *** *** ***
    Waste Management WMI *** *** ***
    Schlumberger SLB *** *** ***
    Sprint FON *** *** ***
    Time Warner TWX *** *** ***
    Tyco International TYC *** *** ***
    Xerox XRX *** *** ***

















































































    Total Returns Sorted By Year


    Year BSP BTD S&P 500
    1997 33.0 20.0 33.2
    1996 33.5 26.0 22.9
    1995 40.0 30.2 37.5
    1994 5.6 6.3 1.2
    1993 20.2 30.5 9.9
    1992 3.9 20.0 7.4
    1991 25.5 59.1 30.2
    1990 -4.3 -17.3 -3.3
    1989 25.8 12.3 31.4
    1988 32.1 9.3 16.2
    1987 13.1 12.1 4.7









    The tiny little Q&A Section at the bottom


    BSP CalculatorHere's a nifty site created by Yotommy that calculates the current BSP stocks, and more!

    Weekly Updates are available on the AOL Motley Fool Message Boards (Dow Dividend and Foolish Workshop Boards). If you'd like to be on our direct email list to receive these Updates, check out this address.


    What is Beating the S&P?


    Beating the S&P (BSP) is a simple stock selection strategy devised to be analogous to Beating the Dow (BTD), using a different universe of stocks than that of BTD, which uses the Dow 30 stocks as a basis for stock selection. BSP uses a different group of highly-capitalized stocks, intended to have similar characteristics to that of the 30 Dow stocks.


    Why develop BSP?


    There are a number of reasons why the system was created. The best returns from BTD utilize 4 or 5 stocks; many investors (especially those with larger portfolios) desire to have more than 4 or 5 stocks in their high-dividend portfolios, in order to achieve better diversification. Some investors might be concerned that, given BTD is fundamentally a contrarian strategy, the increasing popularity of BTD and its variations might limit future results of this strategy. Also, BSP (and its backtesting results) might shed light on BTD and the theory of high-yield investing.


    How are BSP stocks chosen?


    The system was devised to be as simple as possible and very analogous to BTD. Instead of using the Dow 30 as the basis for choosing a smaller group of high-yielding stocks, an entirely different group of 30 stocks is chosen, from which a smaller group of high-yielders is culled. Unlike the Dow 30, the "BSP 30" changes once a year. The BSP stocks are chosen in the following manner:


    1. Business Week annually publishes a list of the largest 1000 U.S. companies. This list usually appears in March each year, and has a number of very useful data points from which a list of 30 stocks is chosen. Starting with the highest capitalized stocks and working downward, a stock is included if:



      1. it is not in the Dow 30 group,

      2. it is listed as paying a yield, and

      3. it is not a utility.




    To achieve diversity, only the first three stocks from any one sector (defined right there in the list) are chosen; after three stocks from any one sector are included on the "master list," the fourth highest-capitalized stock in the same sector is excluded. Stocks are added to the list until a group of 30 stocks are chosen--The BSP 30. These 30 stocks thus represent highly-capitalized, non-Dow, non-utility stocks which have paid a recent dividend and are diversified.



  • Once a list of 30 BSP stocks is obtained, the list remains intact until the next year, when the Business Week list is updated. However the smaller list of a handful or so BSP stocks which are intended for investment must now be chosen; depending on market conditions, these stocks may change daily. The dividend yield of all 30 stocks is then listed, based on listings in the Wall Street Journal.


  • Once the dividend yields are found, the ten highest-yielding stocks of the BSP 30 are then found and listed separately. This is the BSP 10.


  • Finally the BSP 10 stocks are numbered 1-10, and listed in increasing stock price order, from the cheapest (BSP 1) to the most expensive (BSP 10). Note that steps 2 through 4 are exactly analogous to the steps involved in choosing BTD stocks.


  • With the ordered list of the BSP 10 stocks, one is now ready to choose the stocks in which to invest. For the past decade of backtesting, the BSP 1 stock has been a very large underperformer and is not recommended for an investment. The next 4 or 5 least expensive stocks are chosen for investing. The five stock portfolio actually has the better record and for the sake of simplicity will be called herein "BSP."


  • Exactly analogous to BTD, the BSP stocks are intended to be held for a year (and a day if capital gains are a consideration) and on the annual anniversary, the portfolio is rebalanced, selling the stocks that are not on the current list, and buying those new stocks that appear on the list. The details of this transaction have been described elsewhere for BTD and will not be repeated here.


  • Where exactly might BSP fit in to one's own portfolio?


    Many investors might like the concept of the Beating the Dow or its myriad variations but feel uncomfortable tying up a large percentage of their portfolio in just four or five stocks. Adding the five BSP stocks might make sense in this situation. Alternatively, one can start with BTD (or a variation) and add those stocks from BSP that complement those in the BTD portfolio, for instance choosing stocks from different sectors than the BTD stocks. Some investors, wary that the increasing popularity of BTD might limit future profits (an as-yet-unproven hypothesis), may not want to swim with the crowd and prefer instead to use BSP as an alternative strategy. Still others might want to watch from the sidelines until more long-term results are in. Hey, it's a free country.


    Where can I find more information about BSP?


    Beating the S&P is discussed regularly in the Beating the Dow and Foolish Workshop message folders in the Motley Fool. Weekly updates (including the current BSP stocks and current portfolio results), all kinds of neat stuff about the system, and many other aspects of high-yield investing can be found here. Come join us!


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