<FOOLISH WORKSHOP>
Three Experimental Screens
by Jim Stevens (JimStevens@aol.com)
Burlington, VT (Jan. 7, 1999) -- Readers who have been following the Workshop for a while have seen us write before about whimsical stock screens that haven't been backtested but that show great potential for divining winning stocks. Today I'm posting the Current Rankings for three such screens, which were identified in previous Workshop dailies but not followed by using a static list of companies over any historical time period.
I screened these stocks from the Value Line Investment Survey data as of 12/31/98 and I'm listing them with their closing prices as of that same day. Going forward, we can check in on these "idea screens" occasionally and see how the actual 1999 performances shake out. All three of them are listed in descending order of 26-week total return. Click on the screen title link to see the last update report on each of the methods. There you'll find explanations of the screens.
Bits & Bytes
Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO) $236 15/16
America Online (NYSE: AOL) $155 1/8
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) $85 5/8
EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC) $85
Oracle Corp. (Nasdaq: ORCL) $43 1/8
Int'l Business Mach. (NYSE: IBM) $184 3/8
Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) $118 9/16
Dell Computer (Nasdaq: DELL) $73 3/16
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) $92 13/16
Compaq Computer (NYSE: CPQ) $42
Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) $85 5/8
Lucent Technologies (NYSE: LU) $109 15/16
Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) $138 11/16
Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT) $61 1/16
Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HWP) $68 5/16
Plowback Ratio
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) $85 5/8
Oracle Corp. (Nasdaq: ORCL) $43 1/8
Int'l Business Mach. (NYSE: IBM) $184 3/8
Intel Corp. (Nasdaq: INTC) $118 9/16
Dell Computer (Nasdaq: DELL) $73 3/16
Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN) $104 9/16
Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) $92 13/16
Safeway Inc. (NYSE: SWY) $60 15/16
Guidant Corp. (NYSE: GDT) $110
Gap (The) Inc. (NYSE: GPS) $56 1/8
Lucent Technologies (NYSE: LU) $109 15/16
Microsoft Corp. (Nasdaq: MSFT) $138 11/16
Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) $55 1/4
Abbott Labs. (NYSE: ABT) $49
Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) $55
Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE: SLE) $28 3/16
Bestfoods (NYSE: BFO) $53 1/4
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT) $46
Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) $67
Computer Associates (NYSE: CA) $42 5/8
Reasonable Runaways
Micro Warehouse (Nasdaq: MWHS) $33 13/16
Read-Rite (Nasdaq: RDRT) $14 25/32
Best Buy Co. (NYSE: BBY) $61 3/8
Owens & Minor (NYSE: OMI) $15 3/4
IBP Inc. (NYSE: IBP) $29 1/8
Amer. Stores (NYSE: ASC) $36 15/16
TRICON Global Restaurants (NYSE: YUM) $50 1/8
SCI Systems (NYSE: SCI) $57 3/4
Genovese Drug 'A' (AMEX: GDX.A) $28 1/2
Bindley Western (NYSE: BDY) $49 1/4
Apple Computer (Nasdaq: AAPL) $40 15/16
Eagle Hardware (Nasdaq: EAGL) $32 1/2
FDX Corp. (NYSE: FDX) $89 3/16
Bergen Brunswig (NYSE: BBC) $34 7/8
Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) $60 1/2
Fred Meyer (NYSE: FMY) $60 1/4
Scholastic Corp. (Nasdaq: SCHL) $53 5/8
Ruby Tuesday (NYSE: RI) $21 1/4
Union Camp (NYSE: UCC) $67 1/8
Park Electrochemical (NYSE: PKE) $28 5/8
I'm looking forward to seeing how these specialty items from the Workshop toolbox fare. Maybe 1999 will bring some insights and surprises. Here's to a few more surprises like Wednesday's market performance!
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