★ wanayoo — archive 1999 http://www.fool.com/now50/now50valuation.htmNouvelle recherche | Portail wanayoo
Home TabsFool.com HomeDiscussion BoardsQuotes and DataStock ResearchShop FoolMartMy PortfolioMy FoolLogin
Home/Features NavNewsSpecial FeaturesInvesting StrategiesRetirementPersonal FinanceFool's SchoolHelp
Stock StrategiesFool.com HomeFool.com Home
  
 
Strategies / NOW 50 Index Today's Features 
  
The Motley Fool NOW 50 Index Weighting & Valuation Format

By Bill Mann (TMF Otter)
January 3, 2000

One of the issues that led the Motley Fool to consider creating its own index was the question of inappropriate weighting of the other major indices. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is calculated daily based on the price of each company, without any regard to relative size of each component. The S&P 500, on the other hand, measures on market capitalization, which is a preferable scale, but has often been called the "Microsoft Index" for the amount of influence that one company and its $500 billion market cap has on the performance of the S&P 500. The smallest company in the S&P 500, at a mere $345 million market cap, has almost no effect on the movement of the Index, a scenario we sought to avoid.

After several consultations with indexing companies and mathematicians, we elected to use a sliding scale with regression toward the median market cap companies. In other words, we would raise the influence of the bottom dollars for each company and discount the additional dollars beyond a certain measure. Such a methodology will allow the largest companies to increase in market cap and influence without overwhelming the NOW 50 Index.

The calculations are made based on market capitalization, and the performance of the index will be based on each company's increase or decrease as an investment from the base date. Each company's performance will be assigned a percentage of weight to the index. These weights will be recalculated quarterly, on December 15, March 15, June 15, and September 15, with any mergers or unscheduled changes in the NOW 50 components being recalculated immediately. The original weightings are based on the market capitalization for each company as of December 15, 1999.

The method of weighting is simple and elegant. Each company is assigned a market cap and then ordered from smallest to highest and ranked 1 to 50. The 10th and 30th companies are noted. For every company, all dollars of market cap below the level of the 10th company is doubled. For every company bigger than the 30th company, each dollar ABOVE the level of that company's market cap will be multiplied by 0.2. In doing this we give the smaller companies some additional weight while eliminating the need for a firm cap. Note that for Berkshire Hathaway we will track the performance of its B Class shares, which normally differ slightly in performance from the A Class.

In the chart that follows there are several columns. The first is the rank, from smallest to largest. Second is the company name and ticker symbol. Third is the company's actual market cap as of the date of calculation; fourth is it's modified market cap ratio; and finally the company's current weighting for the NOW 50. This weighting will be updated next on March 15, 2000.

# Ticker Company Market Cap
(in Billions)
Weighted
Market Cap
% of Index
1 BGEN BIOGEN 10.300 20.600 0.34%
2 ARMHY ARM HOLDINGS 10.600 21.200 0.35%
3 GMH HUGHES ELECT. 11.900 23.800 0.40%
4 NWS NEWS CORP. 19.900 39.800 0.66%
5 COST COSTCO 20.000 40.000 0.67%
6 ENE ENRON CORP. 26.500 53.000 0.89%
7 SCH SCHWAB CORP. 29.400 58.800 0.98%
8 AUD ADP 31.400 62.800 1.05%
9 SLB SCHLUMBERGER 31.700 63.400 1.06%
10 AMZN AMAZON.COM 32.200 64.400 1.08%
11 CWP CABLE & WIRE. 38.200 70.400 1.18%
12 GPS GAP INC. 39.500 71.700 1.20%
13 MDT MEDTRONIC 41.100 73.300 1.22%
14 AMAT APPLIED MAT. 41.400 73.600 1.23%
15 AMGN AMGEN 45.500 77.700 1.30%
16 PEP PEPSICO 49.600 81.800 1.37%
17 MCD MCDONALD'S 56.200 88.400 1.48%
18 DD DUPONT 66.700 98.900 1.65%
19 AXP AMER. EXPRESS 68.400 100.600 1.68%
20 DCX DAIMLERCHRYSLER 74.300 106.500 1.78%
21 SNE SONY CORP. 76.600 108.800 1.82%
22 UPS UNITED PAR. SVC. 76.800 109.000 1.82%
23 TXN TEXAS INST. 78.200 110.400 1.84%
24 BRK.B BERK. HATHAWAY 81.700 113.900 1.90%
25 TWX TIME WARNER 84.300 116.500 1.95%
26 YHOO YAHOO! 88.900 121.100 2.02%
27 EMC EMC CORP. 96.800 129.000 2.15%
28 HBC HSBC HOLDINGS 109.000 141.200 2.36%
29 DELL DELL COMPUTER 113.200 145.400 2.43%
30 SUNW SUN MICRO. 118.000 150.200 2.51%
31 ORCL ORACLE CORP. 126.200 151.840 2.54%
32 PFE PFIZER INC. 130.700 152.740 2.55%
33 JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNS 131.500 152.900 2.55%
34 KO COCA-COLA 144.000 155.400 2.60%
35 PG PROCTER & GAMB. 145.100 155.620 2.60%
36 HD HOME DEPOT 147.700 156.140 2.61%
37 MRK MERCK 161.600 158.920 2.65%
38 AIG AMER. INTL. GRP 164.400 159.480 2.66%
39 T AT&T 171.400 160.880 2.69%
40 C CITIGROUP 180.600 162.720 2.72%
41 NOK NOKIA CORP 187.700 164.140 2.74%
42 AOL AMERICA ONLINE 191.700 164.940 2.76%
43 IBM IBM 196.300 165.860 2.77%
44 LU LUCENT TECH. 241.100 174.820 2.92%
45 XOM EXXON MOBIL 287.300 184.060 3.07%
46 INTC INTEL 287.700 184.140 3.08%
47 WMT WAL-MART STORES 300.300 186.660 3.12%
48 CSCO CISCO 336.800 193.960 3.24%
49 GE GENERAL ELECTRIC 476.900 221.980 3.71%
50 MSFT MICROSOFT 583.100 243.220 4.06%
  sum 100%
 

The beginning market weighting will be 2000, so as of Jan. 3, 2000, opening of business, 2.15% of this 2000, or 43 points, will be determined by the performance of EMC, for example. On each day thereafter, until the next recalculation in March, EMC's performance will affect the rise or fall of those 43 points. If for example, at the first recalculation, EMC becomes a 2.20% component of a NOW 50 at the level of 2100, EMC would then affect the performance of 46.2 points, and so on. In doing so, the NOW 50 will retain a dynamic functionality by allowing the performance of each component be balanced by the performance of all other components.

So welcome to the NOW 50. Send any questions to us at now@fool.com, or post on the NOW 50 Index message board.

Some NOW index statistics (as of December 15, 1999):

Total Market Cap of NOW 50 Companies: $6.260 trillion
Mean Market Value: $125.2 billion
Median Market Value: $88.9 billion

Email this page to a friend    Format for Printing

 See Also

  • NOW 50 Message Board
  • Fool Announces NOW 50 Stocks
  • The Call for NOW 50 Nominations
  • Stock Strategies
  • Quotes and Data
     

  • Format for Printing


  • Stock Quotes
    Enter Symbol(s)
    Create your own portfolio.




     NOW 50 Index
     Daily Numbers
     1961.88  -0.07  (0%) 
    as of 3/2/00 10:09:56 AM ET

     NOW 50 Index
    Introduction
    NOW 50 Info
    Valuation
    Companies A-C
    Companies D-L
    Companies M-Z
    Index List
    Message Board
    Feedback


     
    Home/Features NavNewsSpecial FeaturesInvesting StrategiesRetirementPersonal FinanceFool's SchoolHelp
    Legal Information. ©1995-2000 The Motley Fool. All rights reserved.
    WestWeb12
    Archives · Contact Us · Work at the Fool